On a higher timeframe basis: I cautioned on 8/16/18 the break back above $1,179.7-$1,183.7 warned of renewed strength. We have seen $905.5 of this. The break above $1,347.0 projected this upward $80 minimum, $320 (+) maximum. We have attained $744.2 of this. On 4/2 we left a bullish reversal below that warned of continued strength. We have seen $470.7. We have seen $398.2 of the strength warned about above the $1,690.3-$1,691.0 area. All of the above macro bullish formations are ON HOLD. I noted we had a higher timeframe possible exhaustion to contend with that came in at $2,071.6-93.2 that has the potential to bring in a bearish correction—we held this at $2,089.2 and have rolled over $238.2. The trade back below $2,043.6 has brought in $192.6 of the decent pressure we are looking for. I have noted since 9/15 that the Gold was entering into a historically bearish period through early October, and even into December. These are ON HOLD as well as we left a short-term bullish reversal below on 9/29. Decent trade above $1,952.6-4.5 (+1 tic per/hour starting at 8:20sm) will change the general picture and warn of continued strength for days/weeks. This WEEK has a good likelihood of being a range expansion week.
On a lower timeframe basis: We held exhaustion above at $1,999.7-$2,006.5 with a $2,001.2 high and rolled over $150.2. The decent trade below $1,965.7 (+3 tics per/hour) warned of decent pressure. We have seen $114.7. These are ON HOLD. I said in the Post Market Synopsis that the $46.1 rally from $1,879.3-80.9 is likely complete and we are in a bearish correction/trend against the move up from $1,851.0 with targets to the downside of $1,894.6 (-)—we traded down to $1,877.1 before short covering off the low. Decent trade above $,922.3-33 (-1.5 tics per/hour starting at 8:20am) will project this upward $47 (++).
NOTE: this is just a small portion of the market calls I provide my clients twice daily in the Gold and Energy complex. 'Decent penetrations' are specific amounts and provided to clients daily as well. If you are interested, please feel free to reach out.
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