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Gold is Bullish Unless we Fail Back Below Breakout Formation 1/29/21


On a higher timeframe basis: I cautioned on 8/16/18 the break above $1,179.7-$1,183.7 warned of renewed strength. We have seen $905.5 of this. The break above $1,347.0 projected this upward $80 minimum, $320 (+) maximum. We have attained $744.2 of this. On 4/2 we left a bullish reversal below. We have seen $470.7. The above bullish formations have been ON HOLD since 12/31/20. I noted we had a higher timeframe exhaustion to contend with that came in at $2,071.6-93.2 that had the potential to bring in a bearish correction—we held this at $2,089.2 and have rolled over $322 into that correction. We held exhaustion above at $1,999.7-$2,006.5 with a $2,001.2 high and rolled over $234. The decent trade below $1,915.7 (+2 tics per/hour) brought in $114.9 of the $75 (+) maximum. These are now ON HOLD as well (see below). The 1/8/21 move down suggests one of two things: 1.) this may be in a new macro bearish stretch, putting the bearish correction from $2,089.2 down back in play, or 2.) we may be building a higher level of consolidation up here—I think the first is more likely.


On a lower timeframe basis: We held downside exhaustion at $1,809.0-04.4 with a $1,800.9 low and rallied $73.7 into a bullish correction/trend. The break above $1,820.0-17.1 brought in $54.5 of strength. The decent trade above $1,848.0 (-1 tic per/hour) projects this upward $17 minimum, $40 (+) maximum. We attained $26.5 before rolling over. These are OFF HOLD. The decent trade above $1,857.0 (-1 tic per/hour) warns of decent strength. We have seen $20.4 of this so far. Decent trade below $1,829.5 (-1 tic per/hour starting at 8:20am) should bring in decent pressure. I warned in the Post Market Synopsis that on the day this warns of short covering before (if) resuming lower trade—we have seen $36.4 of this so far.


NOTE: this is just a small portion of the market calls I provide my clients twice daily in the Gold and Energy complex. 'Decent penetrations' are specific amounts and provided to clients daily as well. If you are interested, please feel free to reach out.

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