Natural Gas is Bearish 9/16/22
On a macro basis: The trade above 2661 (-.5 of a tic per/hour) brought in 7003 tics of higher trade. We left a medium-term bullish reversal below on 6/1 that warned of renewed strength for days/weeks. We have seen 6597 tics from 3067 so far. The trade above 3108-09 attained 6555 tics. On 2/15 we left a moderate bullish formation below that warned of higher trade for days—we saw 5092 tics from the 4572 close. The decent trade above 4962 (-1 tic per/hour) projects this upward 200 tics minimum, 740 tics (+) maximum—we rallied 4702 tics. The break above 5047 also projects this upward 1300 tics (+).We have attained 4617 tics. The decent trade above 5559 has brought in 3860 tics. All of the above are ON HOLD.
On a shorter-term basis: The failure back below 8425 now warns of decent pressure. This will come in at 8340 (-4 tics per/hour starting at 8:00am). We also negated the minor bullish reversal below, which further warns of pressure, and on top of that the maintained gap lower also left a minor bearish reversal above. Decent trade above 8599 will negate the minor bearish reversal above. Decent trade below 8170 (+2.3 tics per/hour starting at 8:00am) should bring in decent pressure; but if we break below here decently and back above decently, look for decent short covering.
NOTE: this is just a small portion of the market calls I provide my clients twice daily in the Natural Gas and Energy/Gold complex. 'Decent penetrations' are specific amounts provided to clients daily as well. If you are interested, please feel free to reach out.
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